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	<title>Detailed Abstractions &#187; Free Market Principles</title>
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		<title>Moral Markets</title>
		<link>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/07/29/moral-markets/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=moral-markets</link>
		<comments>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/07/29/moral-markets/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jul 2010 18:36:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael S. Langston</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Critical Thinking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Market Principles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political Philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Freedom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hayek]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unintended consequences]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://detailedabstractions.com/?p=1160</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over @ Concuring Opinions, Nate Oman has an interesting post about the defenses of a free market (whole thing here): Broadly speaking, I think that there are three families of arguments that can be made in defense of markets. Most commonly within the legal academy markets are defended on the basis of efficiency&#8230;. The second [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over @ Concuring Opinions, Nate Oman has an interesting post about the defenses of a free market (whole thing <a title="Three Defenses of Markets" href="http://www.concurringopinions.com/archives/2010/07/three-defenses-of-markets.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+ConcurringOpinions+(Concurring+Opinions)" target="_blank">here</a>):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">Broadly speaking, I think that there are three families of arguments that can be made in defense of markets. Most commonly within the legal academy markets are defended on the basis of efficiency&#8230;.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><span style="line-height: 17px;">The second defense of markets is libertarian. This looks a lot of like the efficiency argument but is actually quite different, notwithstanding the fact that libertarians frequently confuse the two. In the libertarian argument what matters is not welfare but freedom. Freedom is taken as a good in and of itself, even if choices might result in reductions of welfare for the chooser&#8230;.</span></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><span style="line-height: 17px;"><span style="line-height: 17px; font-size: 16.8px;"> </span></span></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font-size: small; padding-left: 30px;">The third argument is a defense of markets as markets.<span id="more-31916"> </span></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font-size: small; padding-left: 30px;">Both the efficiency and the libertarian defenses of markets are reductionist in the sense that they see the good of markets in a unitary way. Markets are good because — properly constructed — they move resources around to maximize welfare&#8230;.</p>
<p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font-size: small; padding-left: 30px;"><span style="line-height: 17px;">Markets are good because they provide cooperation in the face of disagreement over the definition of the good and “social stability.”&#8230;</span></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font-size: small;">
<p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font-size: small;"><span style="line-height: 17px;">It&#8217;s a very decent article, though as a non-card carrying libertarian, I need to disagree with some of his minor points.  Namely, that libertarians are by group interested in freedom alone.  In fact, libertarians, just like other demographic groups get to the same answers through different paths and all three paths are prevalent in the current party. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 13.2px;">For some libertarians, it is an&#8230;. intellectual/efficiency argument alone.  They believe markets aren&#8217;t necessarily moral or perfect at rationing, but they firmly believe that a free market leads to the best possible solution for the most people.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 13.2px;">For me, I take the freedom approach.  To maximize individual welfare means one must maximize individual choices.  This might seem as too moralistic or philosophical for some as to be practical or useful, but it seems logical that reducing one mans&#8217; freedom is antithetical to maximizing welfare.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 13.2px;">&amp; to be thoroughish, lots of libertarians are just tired of all the other parties and joined that cool one with that goofy, &#8220;Who is Ron Paul&#8221; stuff.  In reality, like most organizations, libertarians are not absolutists either way using a combination of thoughts to form their basis for their beliefs, but I digress.</span></p>
<div id="_mcePaste">The author continues about the third way:</div>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">On this view, traders are not cowardly, greedy, souless parasites (see, e.g., Shylock) constantly tempting the virtuous away from the path of justice with filthy lucre. Rather, commerce encourages courage, honesty, and fidelity. It encourages cooperation rather than predation. It allows people with widely disparate views of the ultimate ends and purposes of life to peacefully cooperate with one another. Commerce rewards the frugal and the farsighted, while punishing the wastrel and the spendthrift&#8230;..</p>
<div>But he tells us&#8230;.</div>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">The third, pluralist view of the good of markets gets scant attention&#8230;</p>
<div>While this maybe a true statement, but the reality is that all three defenses coexist to form both a cohesive political and philosophical framework (though I do have issues with libertarians on foreign policy).</div>
<p><span style="font-size: 13.2px;"><strong>If</strong> we can start with the idea that maximizing welfare includes maximizing freedom, efficiency, freedom, &amp; moral markets work together.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 13.2px;">When starting with the paramount of freedom in economics, one also gets into the land of (un)intended consequences and perverted incentives.  Hayek talked about this a great deal &#8211; the fact that due to the shear size and complexity of the market, any attempted centralized interference will change incentives and unlikely for the better.  Unlikely, because the &#8220;status quo&#8221; we all question exists through millions and millions of individual transactions.</span></p>
<p>For lack of a better term, a collective wisdom emerges, order out of chaos.  An answer, that we might not like, but something for which a centralized system is (highly) unlikely to do better than free individuals.  The result is the most efficient use of resources we can hope to achieve while maintaining the most individual freedoms we can.</p>
<p><strong>What about the morals?</strong> Well&#8230;.i<span style="font-size: 13.2px;">t&#8217;s not as if we don&#8217;t have recent examples to help us out.  Leaving out the current mess of a <a title="Forest, Trees" href="http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/05/24/forest-meet-trees-trees-this-is-forest/" target="_blank">tax code</a>, t</span><span style="font-size: 13.2px;">ake the recent financial crisis.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 13.2px;">Predatory lenders?  Sure.  Fraudulent and speculative borrowers? Sure.  The reason why it worked so well?  Government incentives pushed quasi-government agencies to purchase loans without much oversight.</span></p>
<p>Why no oversight?  No skin in the game.  They couldn&#8217;t fail.  The market believed it &amp; they believed it.  <span style="font-size: 13.2px;">&amp; in the end, the government proved them right.  Do the wrong thing, over and over and over and over again until it finally collapses and someone else ends up paying the bill&#8230;.</span></p>
<div><span style="font-size: 13.2px;">So while the author is probably correct that we don&#8217;t use a moral market argument much, especially in an atmosphere of language such as &#8220;fat-cats&#8221;, he&#8217;s incorrect that this moral option is a &#8220;third&#8221; argument.  It is indeed part and parcel of the framework that markets are more efficient, better at maximizing freedom, and yes, even better at incenting moral behavior as well.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-size: 13.2px;">More on market morals <a title="The Infailability of the Market in Fixing Market Failures" href="http://detailedabstractions.com/2009/12/30/the-infailability-of-the-market-in-fixing-market-failures/" target="_blank">here</a></span></div>
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		<title>Infinite Monkey Theorems 20100713</title>
		<link>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/07/13/infinite-monkey-theorems-20100713/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=infinite-monkey-theorems-20100713</link>
		<comments>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/07/13/infinite-monkey-theorems-20100713/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jul 2010 16:46:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael S. Langston</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Market Principles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Judicial System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Legislation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[People/Blogs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation/Deregulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SCOTUS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cato]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elena Kagan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Freakanomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Freedom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nber]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Robert Reich]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Salon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transparency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://detailedabstractions.com/?p=1117</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Come on&#8230;. we can&#8217;t find any good justices to nominate to SCOTUS?  This is what&#8230; the third (including the previous administration) uninspired justice nominated in just 5 years. For such a prestigious and life long appointment, we should expect much better (via Cato here): Elena Kagan, President Obama&#8217;s nominee for the Supreme Court, seemed to shock many people [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Come on</strong>&#8230;. we can&#8217;t find any good justices to nominate to SCOTUS?  This is what&#8230; the third (including the previous administration) uninspired justice nominated in just 5 years.</p>
<p>For such a prestigious and life long appointment, we should expect much better (via Cato <a title="Why Should a Supreme Court Justice Care about Natural Rights?" href="http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=11968" target="_blank">here</a>):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">Elena Kagan, President Obama&#8217;s nominee for the Supreme Court, seemed to shock many people when she dodged questions about the Declaration of Independence during her testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee&#8230;</p>
<p>DA posts <a title="Infinite Monkey Theorems 20100701" href="http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/07/01/infinite-monkey-theorems-20100701/" target="_blank">here</a> &amp; <a title="Kagan’s Nomination" href="http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/05/12/kagans-nomination/" target="_blank">here</a></p>
<p>Via Freakanomics <a title="When Nurses Go on Strike" href="http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/07/13/when-nurses-go-on-strike/?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+FreakonomicsBlog+(Freakonomics+Blog)" target="_blank">here</a>, which will hopefully put to rest the idea that nurses go on strike to &#8220;help&#8221; patients, from the NBER paper:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;Controlling for hospital-specific heterogeneity, patient demographics and disease severity, the results show that nurses’ strikes increase in-hospital mortality by 19.4% and 30-day readmission by 6.5% for patients admitted during a strike, with little change in patient demographics, disease severity or treatment intensity&#8230;.</p>
<p><strong>Robert Reich </strong>via Salon.com <a title="The root of economic fragility and political anger" href="http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2010/07/13/reich_economic_anger/index.html" target="_blank">here</a> demonstrates once again how much politics effects his economic analysis.  According to him, this whole economic mess, including a potential backslide can be blamed solely on deregulation:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;starting in the late 1970s, and with increasing fervor over the next three decades, government did just the opposite. It deregulated and privatized. It increased the cost of public higher education and cut public transportation. It shredded safety nets&#8230;</p>
<p>Which he believes is causing greater wage disparities:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;We’re back to the same ominous trend as before the Great Recession: a larger and larger share of total income going to the very top while the vast middle class continues to lose ground&#8230;.</p>
<p>Because with deregulation, of course, companies can become EVIL:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;Companies were allowed to slash jobs and wages, cut benefits and shift risks to employees (from you-can-count-on-it pensions to do-it-yourself 401(k)s, from good health coverage to soaring premiums and deductibles)&#8230;.</p>
<p>I submit what Mr. Reich fears is freedom &#8211; freedom of business owners to hire and fire as they wish, freedom of employees to change jobs easily (401K allows this, pension does not), just freedom.</p>
<p>Secondarily, you can see in his writing that the only thing the government has ever done wrong, is by not getting involved enough.  He doesn&#8217;t mention government meddling, deficit spending, enormous new health care expenses, entirely new federal agencies which more money will be needed, idiotic regulations like a moratorium on all oil drilling due to one company&#8217;s failure&#8230;.</p>
<p>Nope, for Mr. Reich, it&#8217;s all because the government hasn&#8217;t taken enough control over the little people.</p>
<p>Via Cato <a title="The (Still) Missing Social Security Annual Report" href="http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=11974&amp;utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+CatoRecentOpeds+(Cato+Recent+Op-eds)&amp;utm_content=Google+Reader" target="_blank">here</a>, more news on the Obama Administration&#8217;s <em>transparency:</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">The Social Security&#8217;s trustees&#8217; annual report is, by law, supposed to be published by April 1. This year, however, the trustees have postponed its release indefinitely. The program&#8217;s financial condition continues to remain hidden from public view — and by many accounts will continue to be so until the end of the fiscal year&#8230;.</p>
<p>Wonder if Reich views this as an issue?</p>
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		<title>This is NOT About Free Speech</title>
		<link>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/06/09/this-is-not-about-free-speech/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=this-is-not-about-free-speech</link>
		<comments>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/06/09/this-is-not-about-free-speech/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jun 2010 17:58:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael S. Langston</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Culture]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Helen Thomas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reason.com]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://detailedabstractions.com/?p=1024</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For those that have been asleep for the past few days, quick recap:  an old, slightly senile reporter, who should not have had a job for about 20 years went on a radio show and said some really stupid and factually incorrect stuff (here): [White House Correspondent Helen] Thomas caused an uproar with her recent remarks that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For those that have been asleep for the past few days, quick recap:  an old, slightly senile reporter, who should not have had a job for about 20 years went on a radio show and said some really stupid and factually incorrect stuff (<a title="White House Columnist Helen Thomas Resigns After Telling Jews 'Go Home'" href="http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Media/helen-thomas-resigns-telling-israeli-jews-home/story?id=10847378" target="_blank">here</a>):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">[White House Correspondent Helen] Thomas caused an uproar with her recent remarks that Jews should &#8220;get the hell out of Palestine&#8221; and &#8220;go home&#8221; to Poland, Germany, America and &#8220;everywhere else.&#8221;&#8230;</p>
<p>Within a few short days, the controversy pulled faux outrage from every corner of society, including the White House itself.  Ms. Thomas went from being incorrectly seen as a sweet old lady, to now being seen as she really is.  She was in the process of losing her press credentials, was suspended from her job, and then decided to do what she should&#8217;ve done decades ago&#8230;. retire:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">Helen Thomas , a veteran columnist for Hearst Newspapers, announced her resignation today shortly after the White House condemned her remarks about Jews as &#8220;offensive&#8221; and &#8220;reprehensible.&#8221;&#8230;</p>
<p>So basically what we have here &#8211; is a bunch of people who are upset over a crazy woman saying crazy things.  The reason they have to be feign anger is because they&#8217;ve been defending her childish behavior for years and telling us what a great person she was for standing up to <a title="Why Did Obama Diss Helen Thomas?" href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mj-rosenberg/why-did-obama-diss-helen_b_165544.html" target="_blank">power</a>.</p>
<p>Now some may ask &#8211; isn&#8217;t some of the anger deserved?  &amp; the answer to that is yes.  Telling any race of people to go back &#8220;home&#8221; to the countries which tried to wipe them out in a world wide Holocaust deserves societal scorn.  But the truth is, we don&#8217;t typically heap societal scorn on 89 year olds.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ve rightfully come to understand that they not only grew up in very different times, but some are a little off.  Please note, this isn&#8217;t to say all 89 year olds will wax philosophically about hating the Jews, just that when your family elders who are 89 spout something idiotic or racist at the Thanksgiving dinner table, they are simply ignored.</p>
<p>I might have to talk to my daughter about what was said and how stupid and racist it was, but we generally don&#8217;t attack old people with a penchant for senility.   We ignore, deflect, and move forward all while secretly wishing it hadn&#8217;t ever happened.</p>
<p>So&#8230;. I&#8217;m not angry at Helen Thomas.  I firmly believe what she said was racist, idiotic, and juvenile, but she&#8217;s nothing more than a senile reporter.  It&#8217;s odd I know, but I don&#8217;t get upset when crazy people say crazy things.</p>
<p>Something else to note &#8211; this love affair the White House and major media had with Helen Thomas, is what got her into this problem in the first place.  There is absolutely no reason anyone should care what Ms. Thomas has to say beyond her reporting the facts she obtains from the White House press briefings.</p>
<p>I say this, because she is a reporter&#8230; well, she is a crazy woman with journalistic credentials, but nonetheless &#8211; her job for her entire life has been to tell the public news she&#8217;s heard from government officials.  She has never ran anything, never worked in a government capacity on anything she reports on, never even proposed she was/is an international policy expert&#8230; and she seemingly didn&#8217;t want that.  She wanted to be a journalist, not any of these other things.</p>
<p>However, since she &#8220;stood up to power&#8221; (IE: asked juvenile questions to those in power) and stood up to the right people (mainly Bush), she has been promoted from journalist to all seeing without so much as fake reason for why we should care what she has to say about anything outside of her official duties.</p>
<p>I know, it&#8217;s odd of me again, but I like my international policy information to come from people with knowledge of internal policy &amp; while all these people might be smarter than I am&#8230; my mechanic, my doctor, my lawyer, and yes, even Helen Thomas&#8230; they simply don&#8217;t fit that bill.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s more frustrating that the faux outrage though is some attempts to wrangle this whole mess into some sort of free speech thing from the most unlikely of places (<a title="Why the Helen Thomas Case Makes Me Nervous" href="http://reason.com/archives/2010/06/09/why-the-helen-thomas-case-make?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+reason/Articles+(Reason+Online+-+All+Articles+(except+Hit+%26+Run+blog))&amp;utm_content=Google+Reader#commentcontainer" target="_blank">here</a> via Reason):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;True, I find some comfort in knowing that this unprofessional crackpot never will haunt a president, common sense, or the public again. But I wince at the rapidity of her demise. And I feel a nagging anxiety about a journalist&#8217;s losing her job over nothing more than a controversial statement&#8230;.</p>
<p>To be fair, the author goes on to admit this is a private decision being made by a private company which is not bound by the first amendment, but he writes as if firing a senile staff member after they&#8217;ve been shown to be a bigger liability than all their assets combined is about free speech.  To be correct however, it&#8217;s not.</p>
<p>To gauge the effectiveness of this argument, we can run it to its logical conclusion.  Not always, but this is a sometimes helpful trick to see whether an argument is valid or just whining.  So let&#8217;s ask this question &#8211; IF we agreed completely that Helen Thomas should not be fired, what does this mean?</p>
<p>Doesn&#8217;t that also mean we are saying that if the publication she works for is losing money due to her exercising her first amendment rights, they still have no recourse?  They should just keep losing money?  &amp; If it doesn&#8217;t mean any of this, then what&#8217;s the point of bringing it up?</p>
<p>While reading, I&#8217;m unsure where David Harsanyi is going with this other that to try to equate a private business releasing an employee with hate speech paranoia.  Though I&#8217;m pretty sure he doesn&#8217;t want to imply that Ms. Thomas can&#8217;t be fired, his argument is leading in that direction.</p>
<p>No, he likely doesn&#8217;t believe that she can&#8217;t be fired.  The more likely cause of his machinations is that of simple self preservation.</p>
<p>Because no matter how much Mr. Harsanyi wants to make this about free speech or hate speech idiocy and no matter how many other public figures want to make this about racism, the truth is there for all to see.  An old lady, who likely should&#8217;ve retired long ago, said some crazy things that forced her retirement.</p>
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		<title>Big Government = Less Medical Innovation</title>
		<link>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/04/12/big-goverment-less-medical-innovation/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=big-goverment-less-medical-innovation</link>
		<comments>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/04/12/big-goverment-less-medical-innovation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Apr 2010 23:30:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael S. Langston</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Financial Regulations]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[government spending]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Regulations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Over @ HBR Blogs, Jeff Goldsmith asks the following question: Has the U.S. Health Technology Sector Run Out of Gas?.  Looking historically, he notes the amazing progress since the 1970s, but a decline in that growth since 2000: &#8230;Technological innovation — in pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, medical devices including imaging, and enterprise IT — exploded in the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Over @ HBR </strong>Blogs, Jeff Goldsmith asks the following question: <a title="Has the U.S. Health Technology Sector Run Out of Gas?" href="http://http://blogs.hbr.org/cs/2010/04/has_the_us_health_technology_s.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+harvardbusiness+%28HBR.org%29" target="_blank"><em>Has the U.S. Health Technology Sector Run Out of Gas?</em></a>.  Looking historically, he notes the amazing progress since the 1970s, but a decline in that growth since 2000:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;Technological innovation — in pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, medical  devices including imaging, and enterprise IT — exploded in the thirty  year period 1970 to 2000&#8230;</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;Then about a decade ago, the US medical technology sector entered a  prolonged innovation drought.  In pharmaceuticals, new drug  introductions declined by almost two thirds, while drugs patented in the  latter part of the boom period lost protection, this despite a near  tripling in R+D outlays. (New drug introductions rebounded modestly in  2008 and 2009, but still haven&#8217;t regained their 2004 levels)&#8230;.</p>
<p>He goes further to note that this dip in activity wasn&#8217;t just about new drugs:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;The drought wasn&#8217;t confined to pharmaceuticals and biotechnology.   Imaging, a dazzling success story for three decades, has seemingly run  out of gas. Imaging equipment sales collapsed precipitously in the US,  by roughly 40%&#8230;</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;Enterprise clinical information technology seems to have hit a similar  flat spot. The major commercial IT platforms for hospitals and health  systems are more than a decade old.</p>
<p>&amp; all of that makes complete sense based upon what we know about the last couple of decades.</p>
<p><strong>Since </strong>the mid-1990s (well really, since the 1960&#8242;s), we have increased regulation on the medical  industry on a constant basis.  From minor changes in who qualifies, to  new regulations such as HIPA, to very large new regulatory pressures such as the Medicare Prescription  Drug Benefit, resulting in an explosive growth in government  expenditures of health care:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://detailedabstractions.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/healthcare-spending.png"><img class="aligncenter" title="US Goverment Health Care Spending" src="http://detailedabstractions.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/healthcare-spending-300x192.png" alt="US Goverment health care expenditures from 2000-2012 (est)" width="300" height="192" /></a></p>
<p>There  have also been additional pressures.  Increases in financial and IT  regulations through SOX and other legislation have increased companies&#8217;  weariness to put themselves at risk and increased costs of doing business.</p>
<p>These pressures in increasing the costs of doing business, combined with  the federal <a title="Do Powerful Politicians Cause Corporate Downsizing?" href="http://papers.nber.org/papers/w15839#fromrss" target="_blank">government expenditures crowding out private spending</a>, has resulted in higher costs for businesses and therefore consumers as well.  The new heath care and financial overhaul bills will continue this pressure.</p>
<p>The big cost however is what the author notes:  the lack on innovation.  When the government seeks to consistently erect new and more costly barriers to entry, competition will naturally decline.  The correlation to that behavior is that costs will grow more rapidly as we know competition in the long-term generates downward pressure on prices.</p>
<p>As we see now &#8211; prices are increasing, availability is decreasing, as the government decreases the availability of future competition in industries the government tightly controls such as health care.  Conversely with those industries with fewer barriers to entry have downward pressure on prices, such as cell phone or internet providers.</p>
<p>While I consider this failure of centralized control as a major factor, Mr. Goldsmith posits three contributing factors, risk aversion from management, size and increasing bureaucracy, and the fact that we are losing out globally for scientific talent:</p>
<ol>
<li>Firms that used to be run by scientists and engineers are now run by  attorneys and marketing executives&#8230;.</li>
<li>Their ability to foster innovation has succumbed to a bureaucratic  management culture&#8230;.</li>
<li>Bright young foreign science and technology  graduates are returning to  India or China instead of staying here and creating new products or  companies&#8230;.</li>
</ol>
<p>While I agree with all of these things, I think reasons 1 &amp; 3 can be combined easily to a more basic point about government interference and centralized control.  Indeed they are symptoms of the problem and not necessarily the disease.</p>
<p>Having said that, I think it&#8217;s also important to note that reason  number 2 exists due to the same thinking reasons 1 &amp; 3 do &#8211; the  belief that centralized control is a nominal good (DA post on business  trends <a title="Business/Societal Trends – Will Fear Allow Us to Move  Forward?" href="http://detailedabstractions.com/2009/06/10/businesssocietal-trends-will-fear-allow-us-to-move-forward/" target="_blank">here</a>).</p>
<p>The author seems remiss in not making the connection, even if he did  eloquently, maybe unwittingly, stumble across it when writing about  global competition:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;If  they have more freedom to innovate in their home countries, that&#8217;s   where they&#8217;ll go&#8230;.</p>
<p>For as long as we continue to discuss symptoms and not the actual disease, we will continue to miss the point.</p>
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		<title>Wired&#8217;s Overly Complicated Tax Payer Funded Congestion Solution</title>
		<link>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/02/08/wireds-overly-complicated-tax-payer-funded-congestion-solution/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=wireds-overly-complicated-tax-payer-funded-congestion-solution</link>
		<comments>http://detailedabstractions.com/2010/02/08/wireds-overly-complicated-tax-payer-funded-congestion-solution/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 20:51:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael S. Langston</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cato]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Critical Thinking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Market Principles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Freedom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mass Transit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Over Confidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political Philosophy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In January&#8217;s edition of Wired Magazine, they detail an article about rail systems and advocate high speed rail as a solution for congestion.  The problem is identified correctly (here): &#8230;Getting California’s train up and running will be expensive. But doing nothing would cost two to three times more. Why? Currently, gridlocked lanes waste $20 billion [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In January&#8217;s edition of Wired Magazine, they detail an article about rail systems and advocate high speed rail as a solution for congestion.  The problem is identified correctly (<a title="Superfast Bullet Trains Are Finally Coming to the U.S." href="http://www.wired.com/magazine/2010/01/ff_fasttrack/all/1" target="_blank">here</a>):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;Getting California’s train up and running will be expensive. But doing nothing would cost two to three times more. Why? Currently, gridlocked lanes waste $20 billion in fuel and productivity annually. And it’s only going to get worse. The Golden State is growing — quickly. By 2030, another 12 million people could be calling it home. Without an infrastructure overhaul, drivers can expect a 10 percent congestion increase every year. To accommodate the billion trips between cities that residents and visitors will make annually, the state would need to build 3,000 more miles of freeway lanes, five more commercial airport runways, and 90 more airline departure gates. The price: at least $100 billion. Oh, and all that construction wouldn’t alleviate traffic; it would simply keep pace with it&#8230;.</p>
<p>The article goes on to detail rail as a solution, showing a brief history of rail in the US, including the really cool technological advancements in rail systems.  The main problem with the idea however, isn&#8217;t that new rail systems aren&#8217;t cool or that rail couldn&#8217;t become much faster and more efficient, the main problem, which they slightly acknowledge, is getting people to use it:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;To be cost-efficient, any high-speed rail system needs an ample supply of riders. San Francisco hopes to deliver them through a new million-square-foot terminal. Dubbed the Transbay Transit Center, it will connect the new rail line with nine regional transportation systems&#8230;</p>
<p>And</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;No city epitomizes the insane appeal of driving like Los Angeles, whose citizens cling to their steering wheels even as they face the worst congestion in the nation. Will high-speed rail persuade them to give up their autos? Maybe. Ridership on the local rail system has increased to 306,000 on weekdays, up from 265,000 in 2007. A faster, cheaper trip — the high-speed ride between Ontario and LA will save the average commuter at least 85 hours and as much as $6,400 a year in gas, parking, and lost productivity — might pry even the most dedicated motorist out of the driver’s seat&#8230;.</p>
<p>Looking historically though, they&#8217;ve made this argument over and over again and it&#8217;s always failed.  Due to constant regulation of the transportation industry, we&#8217;ve wasted billions and continue to poor billions more into this mess (from <a title="Dispelling Transit Myths" href="http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=8746" target="_blank">2007</a>):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">Rail transit is a huge waste of money that harms transit riders and mainly benefits a few politically powerful interest groups, such as rail contractors, at the expense of ordinary taxpayers&#8230;.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">Thanks in part to the high cost of rails, transit systems in Atlanta, Baltimore, Buffalo, Chicago, Cleveland, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, and the San Francisco Bay Area carried fewer riders in 2005 than two decades before&#8230;.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;Due to financial stresses caused by the high cost of rail transit, San Jose cut its transit service by 20 percent and lost a third of its transit riders.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">The mass transit system in Portland, Ore., carries only 7.6 percent of the region&#8217;s commuters, down from 9.8 percent before rail construction began.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">The subway in Washington, D.C., is wonderful for tourists, but not commuters: Though the region gained more than 100,000 jobs between 1990 and 2000, the transit system lost more than 20,000 daily commuters&#8230;.</p>
<p>&amp; it fails for the very same reason most centralized planning fails &#8211; there is no one-size fits all solution which can magically come from government that will ever be better than what the market can provide.  Over thinking the obvious, that if rail lines could honestly save the average individual 6400 dollar a year, they should be willing to pay 4000 dollars a year to help fund it.</p>
<p>The simple truth is that government inefficiency will only increase the costs of rail overtime, increasing the subsidies and making a large portion of the population fund what a small portion of the population will use.  As Cato notes (<a title="High-Speed Rail Is Not &quot;Interstate 2.0&quot;" href="http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=10505" target="_blank">here</a>):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;.Second <em>[problem with highs peed rail]</em>, highway users paid for interstate highways, whereas high-speed rail will be almost entirely subsidized by general taxpayers who will rarely use it&#8230;.</p>
<p>Why do &#8220;smart&#8221; people seem to espouse imposed solutions by default?  Well, as with a lot of scientific minded individuals and magazines, the search for solutions to problems becomes an end by itself.   This certainly helps when it comes to innovation &#8211; always looking for that next step or next increase in efficiency is extremely valuable ideal which helps many be successful.</p>
<p>Conversely, we also try to decrease known defects, a valuable skill in a fairly closed system, but I think a detriment to larger scale thinking.</p>
<p>Engineers, computer programmers, process engineers, CFOs, IE those in the industries where daily critical thinking tasks ask not only what we can do better, but also attempting to steam line, standardize, and reduce defects through control mechanisms, seem to be more prone than others to view imposed solutions as a solution default.</p>
<p>Indeed, in their lines of work, lots of systems are routinely imposed on clients, employees, and others with typically, minimal involvement from the end user. &amp; often for good reason.  Allowing untrained users to have open access to say a client database would be too risky.  Allowing any employee to spend the company&#8217;s money on what they thought was a good idea, would be a huge preventable risk as well.</p>
<p>The difference however between these critical thinking endeavors is that they have somewhat of a closed system.  Sure, market dynamics affects the controls companies can exert on their clients, but the cost benefit analysis for decisions in these closed system will be much more accurate than a similar analysis for the market as a whole.</p>
<p>The idea of imposing these new systems through tax payer funds has a further assumption as well: if the market is currently in state A and many experts believe it should be in state B, that&#8217;s because the market has failed.  Inside of that assumption holds that we have the requisite knowledge to take literally billions of individual transactions which led to the creation of the current transportation system and with a few nifty math tricks and a good sales pitch from the experts -  impart a better solution than all those transactions managed to build.</p>
<p>&amp; lastly, but not an inconsequential difference, is a company&#8217;s ability to control the results.   One of the keys to any systems update success, will always be in checking the results.</p>
<p>For instance, if I changed process X, hopefully to make the time spent on X lower on average or hoping to reduce defects in products for which process X can affect &#8211; I should be able to look back in time after making the changes and ask the question &#8211; did my solution work for the problem we attempted to solve?</p>
<p>This doesn&#8217;t seem all that radical and certainly seems like something our government could be doing now, but the historic reality is always the same.  Governments seek to grow by expanding power.  Governments by nature move slowly.  Good government is stable and therefore moves more slowly.</p>
<p>This means when the government proposes changes in X process to solve problem Y, they have a known tendency to exaggerate the benefits and obfuscate any attempts to prove that changes in X didn&#8217;t affect Y, by constantly shifting goal posts (example of just one, tiny government program employing this strategy  <a title="Dare to Keep Your Kids off DARE" href="This is essentially the strategy that DARE, the country's leading drug education program, has successfully used to stay in business for nearly two decades. One study after another has found that students who complete DARE (a.k.a. Drug Abuse Resistance Education) are just as likely to use drugs as students who don't. Yet DARE claims it is constantly revising its curriculum, so any research indicating that it doesn't work is immediately outdated." target="_blank">here</a> &#8211; 2002):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8230;This is essentially the strategy that DARE, the country&#8217;s leading drug education program, has successfully used to stay in business for nearly two decades. One study after another has found that students who complete DARE (a.k.a. Drug Abuse Resistance Education) are just as likely to use drugs as students who don&#8217;t. Yet DARE claims it is constantly revising its curriculum, so any research indicating that it doesn&#8217;t work is immediately outdated&#8230;.</p>
<p>In a classic example of not being able to see the forest for the trees, this default condition of believing in solutions which will be imposed for benefit of others might be well meaning, but still one of the largest logical &amp; philosophical impediments to true freedom.</p>
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